In fact, this major geopolitical break will have no consequences in the months to come, or almost.
Friday, January 31, at 11 p.m. London time – midnight in Paris – will take place the “Brexit”. One thousand three hundred and seventeen days after the vote of the British plebiscite, in June 2016, an exit from the European Union (EU), the interminable soap opera will end. Or will know, at least, the end of his first act.
Because, in fact, this major geopolitical break will have no consequences in the months to come. If he does leave the EU, the United Kingdom enters a transitional period during which he will remain subject to Community rules and obligations, until the end of the year, the time to negotiate the terms of his future relationship with the Twenty-Seven.
This stage promises to be obviously complex, since it will have to settle commercial disputes as much as cooperation in matters of security and intelligence, standards for civil aviation, access to international waters for fishing, participation in the program for Erasmus student exchange, electricity and gas supply, or the regulation of medicines, etc.
For at least another eleven months – British Prime Minister Boris Johnson has ruled out an extension of the period, but Brussels has warned against this particularly tight timetable – the United Kingdom, the second largest contributor to the EU budget behind the Germany will therefore continue to pay its due to the European institution. And to also receive European funds. For their part, the British and European citizens will keep complete freedom of movement, pending the details of reciprocal rights being negotiated.
That’s all ? Yes and no. Beyond the symbol, some changes will still be observable from February 1 st.